The End of the Asian Century
War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the Worlds Most Dynamic Region
by Michael R. Auslin
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Pub Date Jan 10 2017 | Archive Date Dec 16 2016
Description
An urgently needed “risk map” of the many dangers that could derail Asia’s growth and stability
Since Marco Polo, the West has waited for the “Asian Century.” Today, the world believes that Century has arrived. Yet from China’s slumping economy to war clouds over the South China Sea and from environmental devastation to demographic crisis, Asia’s future is increasingly uncertain. Historian and geopolitical expert Michael Auslin argues that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region threatened by stagnation and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe – but only if it acts boldly. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin’s provocative reassessment of Asia’s future will be a must-read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.
Award-winning author Michael Auslin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research in Washington, DC. A former history professor at Yale, he is a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal and a global media commentator.
Since Marco Polo, the West has waited for the “Asian Century.” Today, the world believes that Century has arrived. Yet from China’s slumping economy to war clouds over the South China Sea and from environmental devastation to demographic crisis, Asia’s future is increasingly uncertain. Historian and geopolitical expert Michael Auslin argues that far from being a cohesive powerhouse, Asia is a fractured region threatened by stagnation and instability. Here, he provides a comprehensive account of the economic, military, political, and demographic risks that bedevil half of our world, arguing that Asia, working with the United States, has a unique opportunity to avert catastrophe – but only if it acts boldly. Bringing together firsthand observations and decades of research, Auslin’s provocative reassessment of Asia’s future will be a must-read for industry and investors, as well as politicians and scholars, for years to come.
Award-winning author Michael Auslin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research in Washington, DC. A former history professor at Yale, he is a regular contributor to the Wall Street Journal and a global media commentator.
Advance Praise
“Informative, thoughtful, and wide-ranging . . . well-researched, insightful . . . a wake-up call.”—Publishers Weekly
"Auslin argues powerfully for a dose of reality when assessing the current situation in Asia and its future problems and prospects."—George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State and Secretary of the Treasury, and Distinguished Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University
"What happens in Asia will determine much of what historians in the 22nd century say about our century. Michael Auslin’s bracing book argues that it may be a sad story. It is a powerful antidote to the Asiaphoria that dominates conventional wisdom. Agree or disagree, Auslin’s argument deserves serious reflection."—Lawrence H. Summers, former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury and President Emeritus, Harvard University
“Michael Auslin provides and impressive review of Asian fault lines that could soon break into open conflict despite the region’s interwoven economies. The End of the Asian Century is a unique analysis, and likely prescient, of the world’s most vibrant region.”—Frederick W. Smith, Chairman and CEO, FedEx Corporation
“I and many of my colleagues worry more about Chinese weakness than we do Chinese strength; we fret more over Asian failure than we do Asian competitive success. Michael Auslin's thoughtful new book explains why. It's a must-read for anyone who wants to go beyond today's oversimplified sloganeering.”—General (Ret.) Michael V. Hayden, former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency and National Security Agency
"At a time when Asia’s importance is matched only by its complexity and unpredictability, Michael Auslin has provided us a thoughtful, deeply researched, and engagingly written primer on how to think about the future of this vital region."—Robert Kagan, senior fellow, Brookings Institutions and author of The World America Made
"The conventional wisdom has long held that Asia is inexorably rising while America declines. In a bold and provocative book that is sure to spark debate, Michael Auslin challenges that old thinking by showing that Asia risks a calamitous descent into conflict and economic turmoil. Written with grace and insight, The End of the Asian Century is must reading for anyone interested not just in Asia but in geopolitics more broadly."—Max Boot, Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow for National Security Studies, Council on Foreign Relations and author of The Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of American Power
"Moving from geography to economics and politics, Asia expert Michael Auslin draws an innovative risk map in this well researched new book. This thoughtful and skeptical challenge to consensus, with its caution that America must up its game in the region, is a must-read for any policy maker or businessperson thinking seriously about the world today."—Glenn Hubbard, Dean, and Russell L. Carson Professor of Finance and Economics, Columbia Business School
"Many think of a Rising Asia – economically vibrant and politically stable – as the future of the international system. Michael Auslin’s brilliant new book highlights the demographic, economic, political and diplomatic factors that make this brave new world far less likely. It is essential reading for all who want to understand the future of global order."—Eric Edelman, former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
"Auslin argues powerfully for a dose of reality when assessing the current situation in Asia and its future problems and prospects."—George P. Shultz, former U.S. Secretary of State and Secretary of the Treasury, and Distinguished Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University
"What happens in Asia will determine much of what historians in the 22nd century say about our century. Michael Auslin’s bracing book argues that it may be a sad story. It is a powerful antidote to the Asiaphoria that dominates conventional wisdom. Agree or disagree, Auslin’s argument deserves serious reflection."—Lawrence H. Summers, former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury and President Emeritus, Harvard University
“Michael Auslin provides and impressive review of Asian fault lines that could soon break into open conflict despite the region’s interwoven economies. The End of the Asian Century is a unique analysis, and likely prescient, of the world’s most vibrant region.”—Frederick W. Smith, Chairman and CEO, FedEx Corporation
“I and many of my colleagues worry more about Chinese weakness than we do Chinese strength; we fret more over Asian failure than we do Asian competitive success. Michael Auslin's thoughtful new book explains why. It's a must-read for anyone who wants to go beyond today's oversimplified sloganeering.”—General (Ret.) Michael V. Hayden, former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency and National Security Agency
"At a time when Asia’s importance is matched only by its complexity and unpredictability, Michael Auslin has provided us a thoughtful, deeply researched, and engagingly written primer on how to think about the future of this vital region."—Robert Kagan, senior fellow, Brookings Institutions and author of The World America Made
"The conventional wisdom has long held that Asia is inexorably rising while America declines. In a bold and provocative book that is sure to spark debate, Michael Auslin challenges that old thinking by showing that Asia risks a calamitous descent into conflict and economic turmoil. Written with grace and insight, The End of the Asian Century is must reading for anyone interested not just in Asia but in geopolitics more broadly."—Max Boot, Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellow for National Security Studies, Council on Foreign Relations and author of The Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of American Power
"Moving from geography to economics and politics, Asia expert Michael Auslin draws an innovative risk map in this well researched new book. This thoughtful and skeptical challenge to consensus, with its caution that America must up its game in the region, is a must-read for any policy maker or businessperson thinking seriously about the world today."—Glenn Hubbard, Dean, and Russell L. Carson Professor of Finance and Economics, Columbia Business School
"Many think of a Rising Asia – economically vibrant and politically stable – as the future of the international system. Michael Auslin’s brilliant new book highlights the demographic, economic, political and diplomatic factors that make this brave new world far less likely. It is essential reading for all who want to understand the future of global order."—Eric Edelman, former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
Available Editions
| EDITION | Hardcover |
| ISBN | 9780300212228 |
| PRICE | $30.00 (USD) |
| PAGES | 304 |
